Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.094118 0.104709 0.115577 0.127537 0.140298 0.153480 0.168098
2025-02-02 0.076330 0.091916 0.108722 0.128065 0.149589 0.172683 0.199216
2025-02-09 0.064841 0.083808 0.105164 0.130685 0.160055 0.192512 0.230808
2025-02-16 0.053973 0.074733 0.099087 0.129210 0.164924 0.205407 0.254249
2025-02-23 0.049225 0.072132 0.099909 0.135201 0.178001 0.227434 0.288050
2025-03-02 0.044829 0.069321 0.099952 0.139830 0.189168 0.247092 0.319109
2025-03-09 0.037421 0.061745 0.093296 0.135537 0.188988 0.252879 0.333518
2025-03-16 0.031006 0.054748 0.086718 0.130721 0.187627 0.256818 0.345381
2025-03-23 0.028683 0.053220 0.087156 0.134779 0.197288 0.274169 0.373498
2025-03-30 0.026144 0.051083 0.086535 0.137261 0.204826 0.288861 0.398412
2025-04-06 0.024892 0.050742 0.088314 0.142904 0.216453 0.308721 0.429835
2025-04-13 0.021427 0.046561 0.084313 0.140398 0.217205 0.314738 0.443997
2025-04-20 0.020988 0.047482 0.088096 0.149255 0.233829 0.341999 0.486165
2025-04-27 0.018789 0.045256 0.087113 0.151429 0.241658 0.358281 0.514985
2025-05-04 0.017130 0.043770 0.087132 0.154988 0.251411 0.377193 0.547412
2025-05-11 0.014600 0.040357 0.083877 0.153578 0.254214 0.386991 0.568241
2025-05-18 0.013971 0.040455 0.086188 0.160398 0.268501 0.412029 0.608890
2025-05-25 0.013100 0.039958 0.087453 0.165623 0.280583 0.434234 0.646041
2025-06-01 0.010643 0.035810 0.082314 0.160827 0.278251 0.437034 0.657831
2025-06-08 0.008457 0.031785 0.077006 0.155429 0.274772 0.438073 0.667156
2025-06-15 0.007888 0.031383 0.078028 0.159985 0.285748 0.458805 0.702578
2025-06-22 0.007146 0.030431 0.077972 0.162769 0.294127 0.476032 0.733462
2025-06-29 0.006883 0.030657 0.080084 0.169090 0.307794 0.500637 0.774338